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Predictions

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Can good predictions be made? Yes. There are many examples of highly-qualified futurists who made generally correct predictions (and it's not just the fact that some ought to be luckier than others). Examples: F. M. Esfandiary [1], Jules Verne, Genrih Altov (Генрих Альтов) /Altshuller/. It seems possible to predict future well, even though it's not always clear what the best approach/methodology is.

Incorrect predictions

Laughable predictions

Despite transhumanist memes filtering out into the public consciousness, and increasing awareness about the accelerating pace of technological change, many academics just don't get the timelines or the scope of change truly being discussed.

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