A "futurologist" in BT Foresight and Futurology Unit, he claims that his success rate for <10 years forecasts is an impressive 85% [1], but he is lying through his teeth. His forecasts (such as the one his division made in 2001) are useless crap and the success rate is probably as low as 10% even for 5 year forecasts (see TV2005.ppt this presentation).


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